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Month: August 2020

Commentary

8/31/20 Probable xCF

August 31, 2020 Josef Friedman

Call me old fashioned, but if you want to turn $100 into $3,000,000 is it too much, to ask that you master this? If it is too much to ask, is there really even a remote possibility that you can pull this off in real life? The E13/M13 build is illustrated here. xEM on the… Continue reading 8/31/20 Probable xCF

Tagged SPYLeave a comment
Commentary

8/31/20 29,000x

August 31, 2020August 31, 2020 Josef Friedman

I've been working on presenting multiple strategy results to demonstrate that just about any reasonable combination of indicators in a finite state setup will produce impressive results. That results in a change to the naming convention, so 13em is now em13. The results of 3xWushu for about 10 years are below. 29000x for SOXL/SOXS is… Continue reading 8/31/20 29,000x

Tagged SOXL, SOXS, SQQQ, TQQQLeave a comment
Commentary

8/29/20 – 3x Bear TF vs noTF

August 29, 2020 Josef Friedman

There was an error (caused by bad copying) in one of the 3x Bear tables in my article and I neglected to put in another table. It doesn't change the final numbers at least. The article had 3x Bears - noTF. SCC was correct as shown here, but I copied CO and HLd from a… Continue reading 8/29/20 – 3x Bear TF vs noTF

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Commentary

8/28/20 Probable xCF

August 28, 2020 Josef Friedman

Showing E13 and M13, seems like a pretty strong close is needed for another xFF. Both are buy signals. This thing will eventually break down to an x0F or x0C at some point, so the current numbers are saying that if that happens soon it will be a greater than a 2% decline. No special… Continue reading 8/28/20 Probable xCF

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Commentary

8/28/20 xFF Cs3 and the DACTI Principle

August 28, 2020 Josef Friedman

I mentioned I wasn't convinced that ConsecuSig means anything special yesterday. That probably stems from the DACTI strategy design principle. That was part of the first SA article that I submitted last weekend but pulled to write the second one that is still pending. DACTI is my version of the KISS principle - Keep it… Continue reading 8/28/20 xFF Cs3 and the DACTI Principle

Tagged SPYLeave a comment
Commentary

8/27/20 – Probable xFF, ConsecuSig3

August 27, 2020 Josef Friedman

The readings for E13 are included in the table. Calculated as (WPrice - EMA13 / WPrice. So what does 2.46 mean? The largest number seen during the 2 years is 6.17. The median number is 0.78. The current number, 2.46 is right at the 95th percentile or 2 standard deviations. Because equities are not dice,… Continue reading 8/27/20 – Probable xFF, ConsecuSig3

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Commentary

8/27/20 xFF ConsecuSig3?

August 27, 2020 Josef Friedman

Futures popped a little bit, on the usual Thursday dire news dump, but that was short lived. Fortunately my buddy from yesterday started buying at 9:10 again. Having some trouble with editorial approval for my article, I'll rework it over the weekend if the issue isn't resolved before. The article looks at 3x Bears in… Continue reading 8/27/20 xFF ConsecuSig3?

Tagged SPYLeave a comment
Commentary

8/26/20 Probable xCF ConsecuSig2 if xFF

August 26, 2020 Josef Friedman

There was an interesting move at 9:10 EDT in the micro-ES emini. It's like a guy got to the office, and decided the market should open higher. The idea is then to short at 9:20, buy back after the open, and spend the rest of the day on your yacht. xFF may happen if SPY… Continue reading 8/26/20 Probable xCF ConsecuSig2 if xFF

Tagged FNGU, SPYLeave a comment
Commentary

3/25/20 Probable xFF, XCF on a soft close

August 25, 2020 Josef Friedman

I pulled the article I submitted because the newer one I'm working on seemed much better. Anyway, I've been busy with that all day, hope to submit it tonight. Despite the musical chairs nature of this advance it's probably the better play to stay long.

Tagged SPYLeave a comment
Commentary

08/24/20 – Probable xFF

August 24, 2020 Josef Friedman

Weighted price has not been below either of the 7 day averages since July 30th. WPrice has been above the 13 day averages since June 29th. That was the end of a period of mild weakness. The June 29th candle is tagged with the swing low 298.93. Since then it's been a Bourgeois socialist's wet… Continue reading 08/24/20 – Probable xFF

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