FNGU is included in the 3x Bulls here. The RR calculation has changed to include only OC; it is now based on daily high and low and not the true range which considers the previous close if it is outside of the high/low range. Previously, the Yrmolation periods were equal size because that was easier… Continue reading 3/15/21 Current Signals xCF/o1>c1 or c3
Category: Methodology
3/5/21 Current Signals x00/o0>c2 Specter/FF5 Methodology
Since my plan was to play x00 CO before yesterday OC happened, it made sense to follow through despite the obvious points against it. In chess, there is a saying that even a bad plan is better than no plan. TNA and FAS are tied for the best 63 trade day performance since December. UDOW… Continue reading 3/5/21 Current Signals x00/o0>c2 Specter/FF5 Methodology
2/22/21 Current Signals xCC/o2>c0
There were a bunch of terminology changes over the weekend as I wrote a trading algorithm for the Quatz which is renamed from Kwatz. Returns look really good. I submitted an article to SeekingAlpha about it. yKwatz is renamed to oQuatz and tKwatz is now cQuatz. The new letters indicate where the virtual sell is.… Continue reading 2/22/21 Current Signals xCC/o2>c0
2/19/21 Current Signals xCC/y1>t3 – Sectors
The creepy voice is definitely whispering get out this morning, presumably after the open. y1 morphed into t3, hopefully to nobody's surprise. t1 was the other possibility, which would have been bullish OC at the cost of getting slapped around CO. I don't really look at what other people are doing much, unless I develop… Continue reading 2/19/21 Current Signals xCC/y1>t3 – Sectors
2/18/21 Signals xCC/y1>t1 – High Dimensionality
A 39 day lookback is used today, a month is generally 21 trade days. Note the ,07 median natural log return for the period. Win rates are quite good when they approach 60%. Note DIA wCC at 69%. IWM, IJH, and IJR are over 70% wCO. I pulled my pending SA article, figuring I can… Continue reading 2/18/21 Signals xCC/y1>t1 – High Dimensionality
2/17/21 Current Signals xCC/t0>y0
When I first built these tables and looked at y0>t0, I new this was worth something. After the close, we know the yKwatz is certain. If OC is positive, yKwatz will be y1; if OC is negative, yKwatz is y0. From an advice point of view, a reasonable interpretation is to add back the extra… Continue reading 2/17/21 Current Signals xCC/t0>y0
2/17/21 Current Signals xCF/y2>t0 Dark Cloud Cover
The dark cloud cover candle from yesterday is working this morning for a change. Seems more like a drizzle at the moment. The y2 Kwatz morphed into t0 overnight. y0 is good, t0 not. y0 will come to pass if OC is negative today, otherwise y1 will happen. Both of those look pretty good for… Continue reading 2/17/21 Current Signals xCF/y2>t0 Dark Cloud Cover
2/16/21 Afternoon Signals xCF/y1
Pretty cool insight from the Kwatz. It's anybody's guess what the right timeframe is, but xCF has not been exactly been a gold mine recently. Note the big higher cycle wins are coming from xFF. The xCF/xFC rotation is leaving both sides not real happy. On the other hand, holding CO isn't crazy here. The… Continue reading 2/16/21 Afternoon Signals xCF/y1
2/16/21 Current Signals xFC/t3
The market must have tuned into my brain waves on Friday afternoon, as a nice pop in the last half hour changed the signal from xCC to xFC. That didn't change the positive CO picture for today very much. I submitted an article to SeekingAlpha yesterday discussing Kwatz (new name for kwat). The signal for… Continue reading 2/16/21 Current Signals xFC/t3
2/7/21 Current Signals xFF, Daily Kwat Signal x2
The timeframe was expanded to 72 days. That allows three 72 day periods that starts on 3/31/2020. It doesn't make sense to look at the Feb-Mar panic numbers. There is some doubt about how much sense recent numbers make, but Feb/Mar 2020 numbers have to be approaching total worthlessness. The daily Octal signal is x6.… Continue reading 2/7/21 Current Signals xFF, Daily Kwat Signal x2
