xSig is Octal now. The hex number checked for profit over the entire lookback. That might be worth knowing, but for making decisions today, that seems to double complexity for no great analytical benefit. The median natural log return for the major players was 0.13. Median return was also 0.13 for the Sectors. Same story… Continue reading 7/29/21 13% in 6 Months
Category: Methodology
7/14/21 xSig Article
State Space-Time, The Finite Frontier was published on SeekingAlpha yesterday. It discusses the concept of a state space which is part of a rather obscure area of game theory, which seems related to my research. It introduces a state performance matrix derived from the structured lookback. The xFBD on the top line means is the… Continue reading 7/14/21 xSig Article
5/13/21 Cycle Analysis 3x Bulls
Today is the first day in the Lower cycle in at least the last 31 days. The single descent to the Middle cycle before yesterday was contained there. The two xHL days occurred consecutively last week, the second one being the first candle of the two day sucker rally into the weekend. Ordinarily we would… Continue reading 5/13/21 Cycle Analysis 3x Bulls
5/12/21 Current Signal xLH
Back to the Middle Cycle. Signals (like xLH) are sefirot, the plural of sefira, which means something like number in Hebrew. The Kabbalistic meaning of the terms are much more nuanced, but "number" is still a pretty good definition. The middle cycle sefirot xLH and xHL are composites made up of less usual signals. Last… Continue reading 5/12/21 Current Signal xLH
5/6/21 Current Signal xHL
The market weakened into the close, but the signal stayed at xHL. The signals haven't been the primary focus of my work lately. The tables below shows Signal performance for the 74 Industrial Sector stocks I follow: There are three Cycles: Upper Cycle= signals xCC, xFC, xCF, and xFFMiddle Cycle= signals xLH, xHL, and xMMLower… Continue reading 5/6/21 Current Signal xHL
5/3/21 Where We At?
The chart shows tCC for the major indexes covering 7 months or 147 trade days. Note the IJR portfolio of small caps beats out IWM for first place by 5 natural log basis points or whatever they are called. .46 equates to a 59% return, while .21 = 23%. The Signal column shows what happened… Continue reading 5/3/21 Where We At?
4/26/21 XME, One Fist of Aluminum, the Other of Steel
The graphics have a new look. xCC is the hex signal for the 4 CC numbers. tCC is the total of the 3 Yrmolated time frames. 21 days = 1 month, 42 days = 2 months and 84 days = 4 months. tCC = 7 months. The same thing is done for CO and OC… Continue reading 4/26/21 XME, One Fist of Aluminum, the Other of Steel
4/22/21 Fixed Anchor Point or Derangement?
Interesting dilemma yesterday was whether to hold overnight. The weak CO trend is a big deal currently. I'm starting to understand what I've been doing the last more than a few months. The studies have been rate of change analysis with consecutive time periods. That sort of relates to a moving average offset; offset means… Continue reading 4/22/21 Fixed Anchor Point or Derangement?
3/15/21 Current Signals xCF/o1>c1 or c3
FNGU is included in the 3x Bulls here. The RR calculation has changed to include only OC; it is now based on daily high and low and not the true range which considers the previous close if it is outside of the high/low range. Previously, the Yrmolation periods were equal size because that was easier… Continue reading 3/15/21 Current Signals xCF/o1>c1 or c3
3/5/21 Current Signals x00/o0>c2 Specter/FF5 Methodology
Since my plan was to play x00 CO before yesterday OC happened, it made sense to follow through despite the obvious points against it. In chess, there is a saying that even a bad plan is better than no plan. TNA and FAS are tied for the best 63 trade day performance since December. UDOW… Continue reading 3/5/21 Current Signals x00/o0>c2 Specter/FF5 Methodology
