Commentary, Methodology

3/15/21 Current Signals xCF/o1>c1 or c3

FNGU is included in the 3x Bulls here. The RR calculation has changed to include only OC; it is now based on daily high and low and not the true range which considers the previous close if it is outside of the high/low range. Previously, the Yrmolation periods were equal size because that was easier… Continue reading 3/15/21 Current Signals xCF/o1>c1 or c3

Commentary, Methodology

3/5/21 Current Signals x00/o0>c2 Specter/FF5 Methodology

Since my plan was to play x00 CO before yesterday OC happened, it made sense to follow through despite the obvious points against it. In chess, there is a saying that even a bad plan is better than no plan. TNA and FAS are tied for the best 63 trade day performance since December. UDOW… Continue reading 3/5/21 Current Signals x00/o0>c2 Specter/FF5 Methodology

Commentary, Methodology

2/19/21 Current Signals xCC/y1>t3 – Sectors

The creepy voice is definitely whispering get out this morning, presumably after the open. y1 morphed into t3, hopefully to nobody's surprise. t1 was the other possibility, which would have been bullish OC at the cost of getting slapped around CO. I don't really look at what other people are doing much, unless I develop… Continue reading 2/19/21 Current Signals xCC/y1>t3 – Sectors

Commentary, Methodology

2/18/21 Signals xCC/y1>t1 – High Dimensionality

A 39 day lookback is used today, a month is generally 21 trade days. Note the ,07 median natural log return for the period. Win rates are quite good when they approach 60%. Note DIA wCC at 69%. IWM, IJH, and IJR are over 70% wCO. I pulled my pending SA article, figuring I can… Continue reading 2/18/21 Signals xCC/y1>t1 – High Dimensionality

Commentary, Methodology

2/17/21 Current Signals xCF/y2>t0 Dark Cloud Cover

The dark cloud cover candle from yesterday is working this morning for a change. Seems more like a drizzle at the moment. The y2 Kwatz morphed into t0 overnight. y0 is good, t0 not. y0 will come to pass if OC is negative today, otherwise y1 will happen. Both of those look pretty good for… Continue reading 2/17/21 Current Signals xCF/y2>t0 Dark Cloud Cover

Commentary, Methodology

2/7/21 Current Signals xFF, Daily Kwat Signal x2

The timeframe was expanded to 72 days. That allows three 72 day periods that starts on 3/31/2020. It doesn't make sense to look at the Feb-Mar panic numbers. There is some doubt about how much sense recent numbers make, but Feb/Mar 2020 numbers have to be approaching total worthlessness. The daily Octal signal is x6.… Continue reading 2/7/21 Current Signals xFF, Daily Kwat Signal x2