Back to the Middle Cycle. Signals (like xLH) are sefirot, the plural of sefira, which means something like number in Hebrew. The Kabbalistic meaning of the terms are much more nuanced, but "number" is still a pretty good definition. The middle cycle sefirot xLH and xHL are composites made up of less usual signals. Last… Continue reading 5/12/21 Current Signal xLH
The market weakened into the close, but the signal stayed at xHL. The signals haven't been the primary focus of my work lately. The tables below shows Signal performance for the 74 Industrial Sector stocks I follow: There are three Cycles: Upper Cycle= signals xCC, xFC, xCF, and xFFMiddle Cycle= signals xLH, xHL, and xMMLower… Continue reading 5/6/21 Current Signal xHL
The chart shows tCC for the major indexes covering 7 months or 147 trade days. Note the IJR portfolio of small caps beats out IWM for first place by 5 natural log basis points or whatever they are called. .46 equates to a 59% return, while .21 = 23%. The Signal column shows what happened… Continue reading 5/3/21 Where We At?
The graphics have a new look. xCC is the hex signal for the 4 CC numbers. tCC is the total of the 3 Yrmolated time frames. 21 days = 1 month, 42 days = 2 months and 84 days = 4 months. tCC = 7 months. The same thing is done for CO and OC… Continue reading 4/26/21 XME, One Fist of Aluminum, the Other of Steel
Interesting dilemma yesterday was whether to hold overnight. The weak CO trend is a big deal currently. I'm starting to understand what I've been doing the last more than a few months. The studies have been rate of change analysis with consecutive time periods. That sort of relates to a moving average offset; offset means… Continue reading 4/22/21 Fixed Anchor Point or Derangement?
FNGU is included in the 3x Bulls here. The RR calculation has changed to include only OC; it is now based on daily high and low and not the true range which considers the previous close if it is outside of the high/low range. Previously, the Yrmolation periods were equal size because that was easier… Continue reading 3/15/21 Current Signals xCF/o1>c1 or c3
Since my plan was to play x00 CO before yesterday OC happened, it made sense to follow through despite the obvious points against it. In chess, there is a saying that even a bad plan is better than no plan. TNA and FAS are tied for the best 63 trade day performance since December. UDOW… Continue reading 3/5/21 Current Signals x00/o0>c2 Specter/FF5 Methodology
There were a bunch of terminology changes over the weekend as I wrote a trading algorithm for the Quatz which is renamed from Kwatz. Returns look really good. I submitted an article to SeekingAlpha about it. yKwatz is renamed to oQuatz and tKwatz is now cQuatz. The new letters indicate where the virtual sell is.… Continue reading 2/22/21 Current Signals xCC/o2>c0
The creepy voice is definitely whispering get out this morning, presumably after the open. y1 morphed into t3, hopefully to nobody's surprise. t1 was the other possibility, which would have been bullish OC at the cost of getting slapped around CO. I don't really look at what other people are doing much, unless I develop… Continue reading 2/19/21 Current Signals xCC/y1>t3 – Sectors
A 39 day lookback is used today, a month is generally 21 trade days. Note the ,07 median natural log return for the period. Win rates are quite good when they approach 60%. Note DIA wCC at 69%. IWM, IJH, and IJR are over 70% wCO. I pulled my pending SA article, figuring I can… Continue reading 2/18/21 Signals xCC/y1>t1 – High Dimensionality