I've been doing research on statistics. When statistics become interesting, we can infer that the market has been boring. However, it's rarely a bad guess to expect market weakness in the September/October period, and it is already late August. Some of the sharper tools in the shed, are tuning into that. The good and bad… Continue reading 8/19/21 A Little Volatility
Tag: XLU
4/15/21 Sifting Through The Carnage Of Backwards Day
The 2nd law of thermodynamics as it applies to the stock market may still have adherents. but yesterday showed it to be a little questionable. Personally, I'm a big negentropy fan, but some of that is just the name. The interesting backwards day phenomena is clearly visible on all the lists except value. The 21… Continue reading 4/15/21 Sifting Through The Carnage Of Backwards Day
4/13/21 Into the Homestretch
Turned out to be the right move to cut IWM loose when it started behaving badly Apr 5 and 6. SPY/QQQ/ and IWM were quite bullish in late March/early April. This formation shows some intermediate tops. This could tip over, in which 234 - 208 = 26, 226 - 26 = 200. That fate is… Continue reading 4/13/21 Into the Homestretch
4/8/21 The Far Turn
The dog of growth is is once again biting the man of value. SPLV, USMV have been about as bad as value funds get in a bull market over the last year, but their recent performance is approaching respectability. LABU/XBI/IBB look like they might keep it together OC for a change today. The USMV and… Continue reading 4/8/21 The Far Turn
4/6/21 ETF Ranking
The table shows the 1x ETFs out of 40 with the best RR numbers over the past 21 days. The next table shows the poorest RR performers (which are not doing badly here). Yesterday's numbers (columns starting with "y") confirm the 21 day CC numbers to some extent. That is, green on the top and… Continue reading 4/6/21 ETF Ranking
12/4/20 – Midday Signals
Couch potatoes ex-semis are lagging small caps today. The foxes are unanimous at xFC. xFC hasn't been a bad place to go long, especially from a CO point of view. Note that the winning percentages for CO and OC have been added to the tables. Going long XRT or SMH CO, then long XRT or… Continue reading 12/4/20 – Midday Signals