Since my plan was to play x00 CO before yesterday OC happened, it made sense to follow through despite the obvious points against it. In chess, there is a saying that even a bad plan is better than no plan. TNA and FAS are tied for the best 63 trade day performance since December. UDOW… Continue reading 3/5/21 Current Signals x00/o0>c2 Specter/FF5 Methodology
For whatever reason buying into the x30 near the close yesterday worked out pretty well. The voice is definitely whispering "Get out OC" despite TQQQ SPXL and UDOW hanging in here for a win, but we are also dealing with negative vibes from OC x30. The 38 on x7 CO>0 is the number of days… Continue reading 2/2/21 Current Signals x30/x7
The foxes are split between xFC and xCC. I've sort of circled around to looking at the signals after studying binary decision making in some depth for a few months. The table shows that Zcon1 natural log YTD performance with xFC is poor over the 32 trade days. The high achieving m13m21 combination is showing… Continue reading 12/3/20 – Midday Signals
If you don't just put your money in the market and forget about it like a normal and happy person, it is pretty important to avoid crap like this. The action around here can still be bottoming, but SPY is a bad day away from the 319.80 recent low. If that is penetrated, then 310… Continue reading 10/30/20 Heading Toward YTD Break Even
The table shows log returns for the past year for the 3x Significant 6 as usual with the probability of having a positive day with the various strategies. For example, SPXL for Buy and Hold had a gain on 59% (590 out of 1000) of the days. TQQQ at 64% (641) is pretty amazing. Long… Continue reading 10/19/20 Win Percent
$SPX This week I'm switching to $SPX (S&P 500 Index) as the Specter. $SPX should have the same signals as SPY without the late adjustments. Lengths The four different lengths of the analyzed indicators are 7, 13, 16, and 21. Strategy Groups There are two strategy groups for each length. xEM is the original grouping… Continue reading 6/22/20 Methodology Summary
I've noticed that closing prices are adjusted sometime after the 4pm market close and that has been enough to change the signals slightly several times. Before yesterday, I wasn't sure what was happening. Yesterday's signal was xCF instead of xMF. While still flat in classical Specter/FF5, xCF has been profitable to buy for over 4… Continue reading 6/18/20 Closing Prices
I'm out of SOXL, might try to get long, say with SPXL in the after market.